Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 30.421778 36.110647 42.324819 49.585659 57.804258 66.785936 77.310373
2025-06-22 21.272402 28.614811 37.414879 48.603154 62.303406 78.383706 98.523400
2025-06-29 17.001045 25.198949 35.739489 49.990827 68.433274 91.156397 120.895478
2025-07-06 12.690842 20.671742 31.643538 47.344212 68.694024 96.139744 133.436686
2025-07-13 10.803906 19.028940 30.968485 48.837975 74.083523 107.594868 154.424536
2025-07-20 9.263621 17.569590 30.252998 50.026161 78.928785 118.387679 174.875270
2025-07-27 8.126200 16.512385 29.926744 51.618802 84.291808 129.999106 196.799387
2025-08-03 7.114357 15.467320 29.440946 52.833483 89.065457 140.899424 218.091238
2025-08-10 5.932543 13.893899 27.874568 52.154714 90.873694 147.558584 233.608146
2025-08-17 5.147769 12.906831 27.141778 52.679879 94.451424 156.830718 253.082807
2025-08-24 4.380350 11.799838 26.042757 52.452778 96.762019 164.243397 270.048892
2025-08-31 3.583061 10.458201 24.329436 50.980843 96.915946 168.328300 282.174962
2025-09-07 3.192068 9.992141 24.309560 52.652748 102.606681 181.588433 309.216323
2025-09-14 2.578134 8.856589 22.831259 51.572875 103.673211 187.797732 326.024286
2025-09-21 2.279704 8.432873 22.735692 53.024356 109.105168 201.087128 354.102675
2025-09-28 1.722883 7.137302 20.566800 50.249875 106.915955 201.959260 362.854459
2025-10-05 1.537313 6.856028 20.604749 51.815870 112.529662 215.756255 392.357005
2025-10-12 1.356866 6.534900 20.498305 53.061190 117.601865 228.819605 421.072935
2025-10-19 1.219820 6.314164 20.597670 54.729976 123.527859 243.509310 452.823682
2025-10-26 1.080780 6.039762 20.520324 56.002401 128.754100 257.174025 483.284802
2025-11-02 0.883258 5.466778 19.579657 55.291398 130.118226 264.224220 503.083419
2025-11-09 0.759656 5.135448 19.225032 55.841510 133.938281 275.643957 530.399227
2025-11-16 0.630634 4.718472 18.559007 55.603628 136.160391 284.299034 553.304245